{"id":8500,"date":"2025-04-24T16:09:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-24T20:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/?p=8500"},"modified":"2025-04-24T23:12:38","modified_gmt":"2025-04-25T03:12:38","slug":"on-the-precipice-of-disaster-measles-may-be-endemic-in-25-years-if-vaccine-uptake-stays-low-model-predicts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/news\/on-the-precipice-of-disaster-measles-may-be-endemic-in-25-years-if-vaccine-uptake-stays-low-model-predicts\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;On the precipice of disaster&#8217;: Measles may be endemic in 25 years if vaccine uptake stays low, model predicts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Without a 5% higher measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination rate, measles may revert to endemicity in the United States within 25&nbsp;years, while a 10% decline in vaccination could lead to 11.1&nbsp;million cases of the highly contagious illness in that timeframe, according to predictions from a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/jamanetwork.com\/journals\/jama\/article-abstract\/2833361\">simulation model<\/a> published today in <i>JAMA<\/i>. <\/p>\n<p>Also today, the World Health Organization (WHO); UNICEF; and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance warn that burgeoning <a target=\"_blank\" lang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/news\/item\/24-04-2025-increases-in-vaccine-preventable-disease-outbreaks-threaten-years-of-progress--warn-who--unicef--gavi\">outbreaks<\/a> of vaccine-preventable diseases threaten to reverse years of progress.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Without a 5% higher measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination rate, measles may revert to endemicity in the United States within 25&nbsp;years, while a 10% decline in vaccination could lead to 11.1&nbsp;million cases of the highly contagious illness in that timeframe, according to predictions from a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/jamanetwork.com\/journals\/jama\/article-abstract\/2833361\">simulation model<\/a> published today in <i>JAMA<\/i>. <\/p>\n<p>Also today, the World Health Organization (WHO); UNICEF; and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance warn that burgeoning <a target=\"_blank\" lang=\"en\" href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/news\/item\/24-04-2025-increases-in-vaccine-preventable-disease-outbreaks-threaten-years-of-progress--warn-who--unicef--gavi\">outbreaks<\/a> of vaccine-preventable diseases threaten to reverse years of progress.<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/news\/on-the-precipice-of-disaster-measles-may-be-endemic-in-25-years-if-vaccine-uptake-stays-low-model-predicts\/\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8216;On the precipice of disaster&#8217;: Measles may be endemic in 25 years if vaccine uptake stays low, model predicts<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5089,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1325,388,51,15,283],"class_list":["post-8500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-gavi","tag-measles","tag-united-states","tag-vaccines","tag-world-health-organization","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8500"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8501,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8500\/revisions\/8501"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stillcoviding.ca\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}