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Tag: projections

New virus variants threaten a summer Covid-19 wave, but experts say the risk remains uncertain

Covid-19 levels are about the lowest they’ve ever been in the United States, but another new crop of virus variants once again threatens to disrupt the downward trend as the country heads into summer.

KP.2 — one of the so-called FLiRT variants — has overtaken JN.1 to become the dominant coronavirus variant in the United States, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Data through May 11 shows that it’s responsible for more than a quarter of cases in the country, which is nearly twice as many as JN.1. A related variant, KP.1.1, has caused about 7% of cases, CDC data shows.

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New economic analysis reveals Long Covid could be a long-term drag on economic growth and add pressure to already strained NHS

A new report by global economics consultancy Cambridge Econometrics reveals that Long Covid could have wider economic ramifications for the UK causing a drag on economic growth and added pressure on the NHS if no long-term healthcare funding commitments are made.

Funded by direct giving fund Balvi, and in partnership with Professor Emeritus in Public Health Ruairidh Milne from the University of Southampton, the report used available evidence on the cost of Long Covid treatment, economic inactivity among those living with the condition, and prevalence in the UK population to consider the long-term macroeconomic impacts on wider UK society by 2030.

Based on the assumption that there are no long-term healthcare funding commitments to manage Long Covid, the results estimate that Long Covid is likely to reduce GDP by around £1.5bn and 138,000 jobs each year. Were prevalence to increase to 4 million people per year by 2030, the negative impacts would increase to a reduction of around £2.7bn in GDP and 311,000 job losses each year.

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Canada heading toward major measles outbreak without vaccine boost, new modelling suggests

As measles cases keep appearing in more parts of the country, new projections suggest there’s a high chance Canada may experience a “sizable outbreak” — with anywhere from dozens to thousands of people infected if the disease strikes communities with low vaccination rates.

As of Friday, at least 31 cases of measles have been reported so far this year across Canada, according to a CBC News tally of provincial and regional figures released by public health teams.

That’s already the largest annual total since 2019 and more than double the number of cases reported last year, as medical experts fear the number will rise while more Canadians travel in and out of the country this month for March break.

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Le nombre de cas de COVID-19 dans les hôpitaux a triplé en un mois au Québec

The number of people infected with COVID-19 staying in Quebec hospitals has tripled in the past month, Health Minister Christian Dubé reported on Friday morning.

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Brace for an increase in COVID-19 cases this fall: Dubé

The number of COVID-19 cases has tripled in three weeks and could rise to as many as 2,000 to 3,000 per day in the fall, Health Minister Christian Dubé said Friday, reminding Quebecers that vaccination is still their best option.

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COVID-19 : l’OMS s’inquiète de « tendances préoccupantes » avant l’hiver

The World Health Organization (WHO) on Wednesday expressed concern about “worrying trends” regarding COVID-19 as winter approaches in the northern hemisphere, calling for increased vaccination and surveillance of the virus.

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COVID-19 : les experts s’attendent à une recrudescence des cas cet automne à Ottawa

Public health experts warn that the higher levels of COVID-19 observed in Ottawa over the past month are expected to continue to rise throughout the fall.

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‘The pandemic is not over’: Experts expect a surge in COVID cases this fall

Higher COVID-19 levels seen in Ottawa in the past month are expected to continue to rise through the fall, public health experts warn.

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Highly mutated COVID virus variant BA.2.86 showing up in multiple countries

“It is unusual for [this virus] to change so significantly and develop 30 new mutations. The last time we saw such a big change was when [Omicron] appeared.”

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COVID-19 : une nouvelle vague s’approche avant que la dose de rappel soit disponible

There are warning signs that Canada is already entering its fall wave of COVID-19, but vaccine booster doses will likely not be available for several weeks.

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