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COVID is coming for Calif., and it’s already hitting the Bay Area the hardest

If you or any of your friends have gotten sick with COVID-19 recently, you’re not the only ones: Case rates are rising in the Bay Area and the proof is in the pipes. According to the California Department of Public Health, the region now has the most viral wastewater than anywhere else in California.

In an email to SFGATE, Amanda Bidwell, a wastewater researcher and data analyst at Stanford, said that over the past 21 days “consistently high concentrations” of SARS-CoV-2 have been detected in wastewater samples collected across San Francisco.

“Currently we are seeing some of the highest concentrations we’ve ever measured” at these locations, Bidwell continued. And across San Francisco, the levels are approaching those last seen in December and January. Because individuals shed the virus before getting tested, this method of monitoring wastewater helps predict upcoming surges while including data from those who are asymptomatic.

Aside from San Francisco, as of June 11, data showed that COVID levels were also high in Vallejo; Novato; western Contra Costa County; Sausalito; Palo Alto; Sunnyvale; and San Jose. And the virus isn’t confined to just the Bay Area, either.

“Wastewater concentrations of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in San Francisco, as in many sites across California, have been increasing, which suggest that COVID-19 cases are increasing,” CDPH press representatives told SFGATE in a written statement.

It’s a trend that has played out in previous years. The San Francisco Department of Public Health told SFGATE that COVID cases have typically risen around late spring through late summer.

“Last year we saw a summer peak start in early July 2023, and it appears that this may be happening a little bit earlier this year compared to last year,” Bidwell told SFGATE via email.